Wednesday 13 February 2013

ELECTORAL MALPARCTICE AND STATE CALLAPSE IN NIGERIA


The rise of modern states in virtually all the third world countries is faced with numerous difficulties, such as the enthronement of state institution of governance, greater citizens’ participation, peace and security, sustainable development and the association demand for the state, provision of welfare. Therefore, the forge in which the state dealt with these issues, define its character and its relations with the political system. Devid conceived modern state as a set of political apparatuses , defined from both ruler and ruled, with supreme jurisdiction over demarcated area; backed by a claim to a monopoly of coercive power, enjoying legitimacy as result of minimum level of support or loyalty from the citizens. This implies that, all state whether big or small, has been characterized by certain requisite element, viz, the distinct attribute of sovereignty, presence of public institution, formal monopoly over instruments of coercion and an impersonal, impartial and neutral bureaucracy

In spite of these challenges, until more than a decade ago, it would have seemed almost inconceivable of state collapse to be on the increase. Many modern states were once collapse to be increase. Many modern state were once collapsed and many more other now approach the verge of collapse and some much more ominously, than others do. This nonetheless, it was opined that state collapse is a part and a process of state reconstruction and formation. In the same vein, state collapse hardly occurs spontaneously, and a lib or all at once. Whosesoever, it happens, it drift disastrously by complex and conflict-ridden process of decline, erosion of state functions. A number of scholar’s have described state collapse in Liberia, Somalia, Mozambique, Ethiopia and Nigeria  and risk of collapse in at least dozen other state. The common theme here involves overwhelmed governments that are almost, if not completely, unable to discharge basic government functions; the basic of which is security and defense. This is the primary function of any state, which all other political goods and services.

There is a correlation between electoral malpractices and state collapse. That electoral malpractice has major implications for state formation is by now quite obvious. It is also clearly evident that election malpractice has drifted many countries into conflicts, absence of law and order, forcing the state paralyzed, incapacitated, hence unable to discharge basic function such as in the Democratic Republic of Congo(2011), Kenya (2007), Zimbabwe(2008), Nigeria(2007) and( 2011). Based on these considerations, it is predictably feasible to argue that incidence of state collapse in a number of Africa countries woes largely to flaw and fraudulent electoral process.

In effect, electoral malpractice refers to any wrongdoing affecting election procedures and materials, especially by government officials and political party and candidate agents. It takes different forms ranging from irregularities, deficiencies, flaws in electoral management at different levels during the election process.

Drawing from the above premise, foreign policy magazine reasoned that elections are almost universally regarded as helpful in reducing conflict. It further explains that when elections are rigged, conducted during active fighting or attract a low turnout, they can inefficient or harmful to stability of state. As crisis group (2007) point out while reporting on the conduct of the 2007 general election, ‘the failure of April elections has major implications for Nigeria’s governance, internal security, and stability’. The report goes further to identify the consequential effects of the flawed elections are:

1.      Legitimacy deficient, as the product of a deeply flawed, disputed election, it takes power in Abuja but has not yet earned a place in the heart of the people

2.      Slide toward one-party state, since 1999, the PDP has steadily captured even more state and legislative seats at state and national levels

3.      Diminished confidence in the democratic process. The turn out during election have continued to shrink as follows 52.2% in 1999, 64.8% in 2003, 57.2% in 2007and 53% in 2011

4.      Undermining conflict management, the flawed elections also have implications for the country’s demotic conflict management. Elaigwu(2011), cited about 286 selected cases of ethno-religious conflict in Nigeria and about 373 selected cases of election-related conflict in Nigeria from May 1999 to November 2011.

The above notwithstanding, Eric had this to say about the 2011 general election, while recognized that INEC had improved from the past performance, as had the security force, he describe how the PDP had hijack ballot boxes at the gun point in Akwa Ibom, and how result from Akwa Ibom had nonetheless been reported at the collation center . Parden highlighted few flaws that characterize the election. He explain ‘the urban areas were more accessible to domestic and international observers, but the rural areas were  where the vote  rigging occurred. Ballot stuffing was widespread, as well payments of about $2 per vote to rural people. Money was paid even to the local opposition party observers to agree to the results’. Based on these and other allegations. The HRW reported called an INEC to release result, including the results for individual polling units, as means of ensuring accountability.

Despite these shortcomings, unlike the 1999,2003, and 2007 general elections, the 2011 general elections was adjudged by many as the best organized and conducted election in Nigerian history, for instance, a former us envoy, Amb. Howard, remarked that ‘the level of success and credibility recorded by Nigeria in 2011 general elections could make the country the standard bearer for democracy’.

The verdict

Dauda(2011) observer that Nigeria’s April 2011 election was view by many as a critical test of government’s move towards credible democracy. He further asserts that the funding of most observer group have characterized the general election as significant improvement over the previous poll, although not without problems’. Thus, the post-election violence across the north highlighted lingering communal tensions, grievances and mistrust.

The question remain, why despite the applause to the 2011 general elections, the reactions to the outcome posed a critical test to the legitimacy of the government. Additionally, the successive elections in the country from the 1999 to 2011 had always patently posed potential landmines to state formation in Nigeria.

Elaigwu (2011) declared that leaders who are not genuinely elected lack legitimacy. Hence, the crisis group observed that groups that did not believed in the legitimacy of the new government threated a campaign to destabilize the regime. Specific mention was made of the Campaign of Democracy (CD) and Adewala Balogun , executive director of the center for constitutional governance. The later had warned that if yar’adua allows himself to be sworn in, based on that fraud called election he will not enjoy our cooperation, and will ensure that he does not enjoy his reign’, while the former that is CD says ‘it will challenge the legitimacy of the government by any means possible’ . Be that as it may, election malpractice in Nigeria serve as impetus to election violence in the country thereby diminishing the citizens’ confidence in the democractic process and political institution of the state. According to the executive summary on the report of the judicial commission of inquiry into the post presidential election disturbances in kaduna state, the remote causes of crisis of the crisis; is the non-adherence of PDP zoning system as enshrined in its constitution, desperate politician and winner-take-all-syndrome

Secondly, plethora of literature abound on the multiplier effect of social factors such as horizontal inequality, poverty, unemployment, social exclusion, lack of social cohesion, and illiteracy to list but few. Towards the credibility of electoral process. For instance, paden(2012) marveled over the incumbent assess to government resources; drawing from the excess crude account to finance party campaigns, deployment of security forces, controlling and hiring of powerful electoral commissioners ‘etc. while Jega  attributed  ‘crisis of expectation’ on the post-election violence. In addition, Charles Dickson commented on the formation of the government thus, ‘today, whether we like it or not, the president is a Christian, the senate president is Christian, head of judiciary a Christian, SGF is a Christian, national security adviser is also a Christian, the chief of army, SSS Director, in fact welcome to the federal republic is of Christians’ 

Hence, it is the views of this paper that even if conduct of the general elections will be immune from criticism, the pre-election intrigue marred the credibility of the whole exercise, hence, impair state formation in Nigeria.

An edited paper presented at the National Conference on Perspective on Elections and Challenges of Democracy in Nigeria. Organized by the Department of Political science BUK      

1 comments:

  1. This is interesting. Keep the faith Boss

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